Thanks To LIGO, Science Will Have The Answer To This Big Question By 2025

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What are the most important unanswered questions in natural science that are likely to be answered by 2025? originally appeared on Quora: the knowledge sharing network where compelling questions
are answered by people with unique insights.
Answer by Richard Muller, Professor of Physics at UC Berkeley, author of Now, The Physics of Time, on Quora.

Is the general theory of relativity the correct description of gravity and space-time in the strong-field regime, near objects (such as black holes) in which orbits approach the speed of light?
I believe we will soon know the answer by 2025 because of the fantastic success of the LIGO experiment in detecting merging black holes. I had not expected this; indeed, I’m not sure anyone had. Within months of their operation they discovered an incredible event: two black holes were observed merging, one with 36x the mass of the sun, the other with 29x the mass of the sun. They combined to form an even larger black hole, with 62x the mass of the sun. Note that 29+36 adds up to 65. What happened to the other 3 solar masses? Amazing answer: those three solar masses of energy all got turned into gravitational radiation!

The second LIGO event was just reported a few months ago, and it is dramatic but much smaller, with black holes of 14.2 and 7.5 solar masses merging into a 20.8 solar mass object. However the error uncertainties for each number are about 30% so we can’t reach the strong conclusions that we can for the first LIGO event.
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Some people say we already confirmed strong field general relativity from the first, since the general relativistic model fits the data very well. Unfortunately, however, the signal is not strong enough for us to determine if there were “small” (e.g. 10%) departures from general relativity. This last weekend my colleague Shaun Maguire and I posted a scientific paper in which we predict such a small departure, and shows that the LIGO event is not quite strong enough to detect it. The paper can be read (for free) at arXiv posting: Now, and the Flow of Time. This paper is technical and meant for other scientists, in particular, those who already understand general realtivity; however I encourage you to look at it even if you are a physics novice. The introduction should be understandable for a wide audience. The paper is based on ideas I present in my popular-level book Now: The Physics of Time which is not yet available (it is in press).

In the coming years, certainly before 2025, we expect there to be many more LIGO events, some significantly stronger than those already observed. Such events don’t have to involve bigger black holes; they only have to be closer to the Earth (e.g. less than a billion light years away) to give a sufficiently strong signal, one that could indicate departures from standard general relativity. It will also help that soon some additional LIGO detectors will be operational, and the detection of the event by more than the two current detectors will greatly enhance the information that we can obtain.
Yes, it would be great to confirm general relativity, but the science is always most exciting when we discover departures from what we thought was true. We have never probed strong field general relativity prior to LIGO (at least not so clearly), and so it will offer a remarkable opportunity to see possible departures from our current theory of general relativity. That prospect is what scientists find most thrilling.
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source -forbes.com
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